Why Android WINS

Posted: November 28, 2009 in Android, Java, Mobile
Tags: ,

Several ‘webtards’ have gotten this wrong such as:


Google Android: we want developers but…

85,000 reasons why Apple’s iPhone isn’t going to be disrupted

..and countless others.  These ‘webtards’ have never worked in the telecom industry and would not know  a correct trend if bit them on the ass. let us deal with the underlying mobile operator telecom trends first.

Two trends you should pay attention to; 4G and dramatic data usage increase among smart-phones.  Also tied into that data usage increase is the increase demand for mobile broadband.  Basically, the mobile operators do not have en0ugh investment capital ot build out 4G for that demand.

Now here is the take away of why both Android and ChromeOS will win. The mobile operators are getting ad revenue sharing monies to invest in theri 4G build-outs. The mobile platforms that do not offer this stick and carrot such as Symbian, iPhone, WM, LiMO, and RIM will soon wither on the vine as they will not offer enough revenue incentives to offset the 4G build-out required to support the increased data plan usage and bandwidth.

It is a carrot and stick game because the revenue carrot that Google/OHA offers is used to break the cycle of handset OEMs and mobile  operators controlling technology innovation.  While Apple’s offer of an innovative device was a nice carrot that carrot aspect is very limited because there is no revenue share offer to offset the massive network upgrades that AT&T had to implement, ie AT&T lost money.

The possible counter move by Apple to enlist search partners to share ad revenue with mobile operators that deploy iPhone is hampered by the aspect of the search partner target having their own invested interest in WM, namely Microsoft. In fact the only credible competitor at this point to Android and ChromeOS, due to the ability to offer ad revenue share to mobile operators, is in fact Microsoft with WM and certainly MS has enough quality engineers to copy over a better UI and fix WM’s problems with touch.

Long term it is the best deal to pay  for the 4G build-out that guarantees a mobile device-OS platform win.

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  3. Vikingisson says:

    Well yes and no. iPhon(ey) isn’t going away and I don’t believe that anyone lost money except the user that is paying too much. An infrastructure is a long term investment. Bell spent a fortune building copper 100 years ago and then making it larger over time, my monthly bill (tiny by today’s rates) didn’t pay the total cost up front or even in the first year. But 100 years later that same piece of copper is still fetching them $10/month just so I can use it for dry DSL on a 3rd party provider that gets money for the data. They made millions and billions over time.

    I agree that the Apple model isn’t at all enticing to me but I don’t think AT&T cares about my market segment. They have plenty of users and they will have to build the network just like they did 100 years ago. Sorry, but that copper is no longer suitable but boy did it make a bundle while it lasted, and still rakes in the bucks. Looking at the rates people are paying for the magic of using that shiny device tells me that the revenue is there. Plenty of it. The provider might not be getting internet ad revenue from Apple but they are getting a rate that is so far above what I pay for old school internet that I have no worries that the money is there to expand the network. I call BS on their numbers.

    background: I lost faith in the cell business long before there were so called smart phones. After many years of not using them I just now got back in the game. I can thank Android for making me even notice that there might still be hope. The industry still sucks rocks but the toys are finally getting interesting.

    • sharemefg says:

      You make no logical point here. To win does not need to eliminate the other as you imply. As I have stated before the dramatically increase in user bandwidth for both data and voice on smart phone devices has dramatically changed the game as telecoms had calculated their investments in infrastructure improvements based on old mobile handset bandwidth usage data.

      In your cost point you confuse operation expenses with infrastructure investments, BTW.

  4. Vikingisson says:

    I’m not saying that you must eliminate the others, quite the opposite. It is that thinking that drives me insane when I see the marketing. “We’re better than the other guy” is fine but to kill off competition to get on top doesn’t make sense and hurts them overall. It is a no brainer that more smart phones equals more bandwidth. They are marketed as such and being used that way so why are the providers whining about it? They get revenue for that usage just like regular internet usage gets revenue and those providers (sometimes the same companies) try to build for it.
    The whole industry is messed up. Why is it that this isn’t as big an issue elsewhere in the world? I give them money and they should build what it takes to service me. BTW I’m not a heavy user and am very reasonable with my usage. I expect fairness. that’s all.

  5. Vikingisson says:

    I’m no expert in the field but aren’t usage costs covered by that monthly bill? The profit goes to infrastructre just like any business. I think there is plenty of money and the issues are in corruption all the way up to the feds. I simply don’t buy their arguments. And for many years until this month I didn’t buy their services.

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