The Android Invasion

Google CEO announced in talks to the press that Android just reaqched the milestone of 200,000 activations per day

which surpasses the iphone daily activation rates bragged by Apple. But what does this mean?

Lets put this in perspective. That is 6 million devices per month or 18 million devices per quarter. Nokia is

currently at about 80 million devices per quarter.But market share wise Apple has about 300 to 400 million device customers while Nokia has about 1 billion device customers. The key will bethe Market changes that are happening now and in the 4th quarter of 2010 and the feature set of upcoming Android 3.0(Gingerbread).

Let me explain. To decrease someone’s market share the activiation rates have to at some point double per quarter.

Other-wise the increase is just eating away a few percentage points of the full number of devices in consumer hands.

Out another way if we reach 400,000 Android Device Activations daily activiations before Jan 1st 2011 that is enough

in one year to decarese Apple’s market share by half and Nokia’s by about 25%.

That is a strong confirmation that the often-strange way of having OHA partners work on a valued-closed-behind-the-scenes

next android release trunk source at break-neck speeds along with Google Engineers is working as an effective way to

put new features in hands of Hardware OEMs at a fast iterations required for the consumer smartphone sector.

But, this only half the story as both hardware OEMs and software OEMs(that are members of OHA) have also made some

critical iterations. We have improvements of the MediaCore(OpenCore) at a rapid pace. We also have at the same

time SoC OEMs who are members of OHA making it possible to obtain their low cost SoC solutions and build a

1 GHZ $100-priced android device. In the next 6 months you will see another iteration dropping that consumer

price to $50 for an Android 1 GHZ device.

Google CEO announced in talks to the press that Android just reaqched the milestone of 200,000 activations per day which surpasses the iphone daily activation rates bragged by Apple. But what does this mean?
Lets put this in perspective. That is 6 million devices per month or 18 million devices per quarter. Nokia iscurrently at about 80 million devices per quarter.
But market share wise Apple has about 300 to 400 million device customers while Nokia has about 1 billion devicecustomers. The key will bethe Market changes that are happening now and in the 4th quarter of 2010 and the feature set of upcoming Android 3.0(Gingerbread).
Let me explain. To decrease someone’s market share the activiation rates have to at some point double per quarter.Other-wise the increase is just eating away a few percentage points of the full number of devices in consumer hands.Out another way if we reach 400,000 Android Device Activations daily activiations before Jan 1st 2011 that is enoughin one year to decarese Apple’s market share by half and Nokia’s by about 25%.
That is a strong confirmation that the often-strange way of having OHA partners work on a valued-closed-behind-the-scenesnext android release trunk source at break-neck speeds along with Google Engineers is working as an effective way toput new features in hands of Hardware OEMs at a fast iterations required for the consumer smartphone sector. But, this only half the story as both hardware OEMs and software OEMs(that are members of OHA) have also made somecritical iterations. We have improvements of the MediaCore(OpenCore) at a rapid pace. We also have at the sametime SoC OEMs who are members of OHA making it possible to obtain their low cost SoC solutions and build a1 GHZ $100-priced android device. In the next 6 months you will see another iteration dropping that consumerprice to $50 for an Android 1 GHZ device.

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Useful Tools

Good morning and welcome to the beginning of the Android ‘Land-grab’. Some useful tools:

1. OpenNCF has published their sdk for andorid and an android add on at:

http://sourceforge.net/projects/open-nfc/files/

2. The AppInventor site went live:

http://appinventor.googlelabs.com/about/

Its a visual programming tool to develop android applications.

3. OpenFrameworks has released an android version for NDK development:

http://www.openframeworks.cc/setup/android-eclipse

4. Mark Murphy has released an Android Jar library tool called AndParcel that makes it easier for Androdi Jar Library deployment for those who do not use the Eclipse IDE and Gogle ADT combination at:

http://andparcel.com/

60,000 vs 90,000

Tim Bray  in his first Advocate post stated a daily sales figure of 60,000 versus iPhone’s daily 90,000 unit sales figure. Now, remember Apple has had 3 years to get to that 90,000 units per day figure.  But, Android has reached 60,000 per day figure in less than 2 years. See why Apple is is scared yet?

A large part of that has been due the hard work of Verizon and Motorola. We as Nadrid Developers shoudl be prepared when it becomes 90,000 Android Devices sold per day later this year.